MDA Jamboree - An Extreme Makeover Series-in-the-making?

12 01 2007

Presumptious me suggested MDA was wrong even before they officially launched their new $500M fund at the IDM Jamboree. Fearful I will end up with mud on my face, I bravely went for the event but nothing I saw made me change my mind. The event is ripe for an “Extreme Makeover” series featuring event launches of govt initatives.

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My friend Justin has a terrific, blow-by-blow, review of the event here.. Great for those of you who did not go. Like he said, government agencies seem to love keywords. Short of plastering Web 3.0 over the entire auditorium, they relied on new catchphrases invented by their own staff (?), such as the initiatives of “i.Rock”, “i.Jam”, FutureScape”, “Flagship2B”. I think I came away feeling more stupid after the event because I don’t understand these terms at all. That gnawing buzz in my head told me it might be due to the painful need to read the wordy, mambo-jumbo description that came with those buzzwords. Like what many people including myself think of those hip-hop wannabes in PAP, I will say the same thing to MDA — Don’t act cool. Thats poserish.

For many of the online community that wondered whether the words Web 3.0 was coined by SGEntrepreneurs, the answer came from the event MC of the panel discussion called “Interactive Markets and Trends”. He held up Seraja.com as an example of a startup with a business model that he introduces as a Web3.0 startup. Now, I heard this myself, along with almost a hundred other people in this panel discussion. Someone might have the video, if we want to do some digital forensics study of this. Read the rest of this entry »



iPhone vs The Rest

11 01 2007

Steve Jobs predicted that the iPhone will ensnare about 1% of the global phone market, which was about 1 billion last year. So he expects to sell about 10M phones, probably in 2008 when the iPhone is available worldwide.

I have been wondering about how to value the stock since I watched the iPhone keynote address (Sidenote: which might turn out to be as revolutionary as the first imac or iPod keynote). I found this nice comparison chart from Seekingalpha:

Some key observations, based on the criteria of comparison in this chart:

1. Expect Cingular to announce a $100-$200 price subsidy. The iPhone is way overpriced now compared to the rest in terms of retail price and we have yet to know how Cingular intends to package this product to the market.

2. Enterprise email services is a glaring weak point of the iPhone. All the other smart phones are compatible with services such as Intellisync, Visio, Blackberry, Visto, MS Exchange. This chart lists iPhone as having none. We shall await for more confirmation of this from Apple as the launch date nears. This point is crucial for the enterprise market to consider the iPhone as a replacement product since the price point may be too high for consumers and college students.

There is also more on the smartphone market from this BusinessWeek report on the Future of Apple.

Market research firm M:Metrics estimates that fewer than 6.2 million smartphones were in use in the U.S. as of the end of November. Of those, 2 million were based on Microsoft (MSFT) software, 1.76 million were BlackBerries, 1.72 million were Palm devices, and some 669,000 ran the Symbian operating system from London-based Symbian Limited, which is jointly owned by several companies, including Nokia, Ericsson (ERIC), Siemens (SI), and Panasonic (MC).

More analysis on the iPhone launch and the AAPL stock can be found here.



Friendster Hitches Up with Google

11 01 2007

My earlier post on Friendster has a new significant update. Bambi Francisco of Marketwatch informs us of the outcome of an interview with Kent Lindstrom, CEO of Friendster.

The skinny of this interview is that Friendster will now partner Google in making the latter its default search provider, in addition to an advertising deal akin to the Google-Myspace where ads are provided by Google.

Looks like Google gets them all, popular sites like MySpace, legacy ones like Friendster, to boost its online reach and its revenue, without the wholesale purchase of entire communities, an approach favored by Yahoo. This is a smart move by Google to increase its advertising inventory since its current web real estate are not really the destination sites on the web. It needs to literally get on as many online webpages as possible, considering that its hardly the No. 1 in content being served over the web, ceding that title to Yahoo, MSN AOL and MySpace. At the same time, it focuses on doing what it does best, the technical innovation of its web products without dabbling into its weak areas like content development or social networking site management.



iPhone is Out! And the world can finally exhale again…

9 01 2007

dsc_0182.jpg Copyleft Engadget

No other product in the world is that breathtaking, as only those by Apple and Stevie J. could.

No other product quickens one’s heartbeat and raises adrenaline like Apple’s could.

No other product can make you fall in love. Period.

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The iPhone is finally out. Months of speculation, guess-timations and suspicions finally bore fruit today in another landmark product launch. The technical details are still sketchy for now, but the blogosphere will fill the gaps over the next few hours as citizen media kicks in and carries on the next lap of Apple marketing, almost on autopilot as they report live from the show over thier wifi-enabled laptops.

*Commercial Break* But a tip here for those with cash and fast fingers, go buy Apple and short Motorola and every other phone maker, Apple stock is rumored to be up by $6 so far upon news of this launch.. *End*

The iPhone has a screen fully operated by touch. Just move your fingers to make iPhone do your bidding.

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It is 11.6millimetres long and a snug fit on your palm. With a 2megapixel camera, 4Gb-8Gb flash storage, wifi support, 3.5 inch screen, 5hrs of talktime and 16 hours of music-playing time, runs software compatible with iTunes and other internet-based apps such as widgets, GMail, Yahoo Mail or Google Maps…

It does everything you want in a phone, but looks everything like you wish a phone could look like — Fashionable and cool. Something to wow the chicks for the dudes or something to look chic for the chicks.

Its .. Almost like Life in Your Pocket.

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Available only with Cingular Wireless in US, it will go on sale only from June onwards, at $499-$599. It only goes on sale in Europe in end 2007 and the disappointing is Asians will only see iPhone in 2008.

WTF. . So Apple tempts us and frustrates us and we all hold our breaths again.

** All pictures taken off Engadget and the original post can be seen here, here and here. And of course, the Apple official site here. The keynote speech can also be found here.



BarCamp for the REAL Web Community of Singapore

9 01 2007

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Riding on my “Tomorrow-ed” post earlier, also here, some good friends of mine, Chandra and his linuxNUS community and Ming Yeow, from The Digital Movement, are going to launch the first-ever BarCamp Singapore meetup on Jan 20. I thought its time for private folks like us to step away from the government loudspeakers and propaganda machine for a while to think deeply within our own circles and focus on building real products. Hence my shameless pitch here.

For those clueless on what BarCamp is,

BarCamp is an ad-hoc un-conference born from the desire for people to share and learn in an open environment. It is an intense event with discussions, demos and interaction from attendees.

All attendees should give a demo, a session, or help with one. All presentions are scheduled the day they happen. Prepare in advance, but come early to get a slot on the wall. Presenters are responsible for making sure that notes/slides/audio/video of their presentations are published on the web for the benefit of all and those who can’t be present.

Anyone with something to contribute or with the desire to learn is welcome and invited to join.

Barcamp is one of many community events run by and for programmers and all other geeks in Silicon Valley. The concept has been replicated in many other countries around the world and you can find out more by clicking here. Other examples include SuperHappyDev House. I am not a programmer so my knowledge runs shallow. But for programmers in Singapore who have not succumbed to the doom and gloom of senior programmers and comp engineers in Singapore’s forlorn IT industry, the BarCamp Singapore initiative might be an eye-opener to passionate folks within our little red dot of an island. At these BarCamps, attendees discuss the latest tools and tricks of programming, design, code up fresh new applications on the fly or simply discuss anything that relates to their passion and hobbies. Common conversation centre around the Ruby on Rails, Django, MySQL or the other fascinating open-source stuff that I have lost track of but are all might cool. Call them naive or passionate, but come join us and get ready to contribute and share.

For interested folks, go to the BarCamp wiki and learn more before you sign up. Its a very attendee-driven event. The program is literally what you make of it. Thats what we call an unconference. =)



Some thoughts on MDA IDM Jamboree

6 01 2007

Update 2: The post-event analysis is up and readable here.

Update: I found Professor Ramesh Jain from UC Irvine, CA, who might be attending this event too as a presenter of his startup, Event Web. Check out Ramesh Jain’s blog. More on his startup idea here (no website available, it seems). More on the man here.

idmlogothumbnail.JPGThis event, held Jan 10, will launch an initiative to launch Web 3.0 in Singapore. Frankly, I don;t know how we skipped the evolution cycle because Web 2.0 did not even start in Singapore’s IT and media industries. More on this event at SGEntrepreneurs. I cannot find the actual event site. Looks like this Web3.0 event launch is neither search optimized nor browsable on the website of MDA, the lead agency spearheading this effort. tsk tsk..

And I left a comment on the SGE site which i will reproduce here, in an edited version. As a disclaimer, I am not yet an active practitioner nor entrepreneur in the web industry. But I think I have the right to at least air my opinion on this issue. I am passionate about the Web industry and bullish about the internet medium on business and society and am willing to support any initiative that will propagate its growth. I take issue with the manner of the latest launch by MDA and its affiliated agencies and just prefer to make my thoughts heard in the hope that it lands in the right hands/ ears and we do this initiative right.

“there’s no such thing called “web 3.0″ yet. i am attending this event to see just how the govt defines web 2.0 before we attempt to jump the whole world and create this fictitious web 3.0. Even the website of the event is a joke. its so web 1.0 and they still use antiquated terms of no relevance to the subject matter.

This event almost looks like another initiative by some harried civil servant who pulled together a bunch of kakis from the other ministries to show the whole world they are all collectively putting effort in doing something that meets their KPI/ ROI/ whatever. Yes, a bureaucratic kneejerk reaction is what this looks like.

I rant alot here, i know, but the way the government is trying to launch this fund shows they are simply out of touch in trying to understand what really matters in trying to spur innovation here. those who will create any web3.0 already exist. And i think none of these people are inspired enough by the promise of what this web 3.0 can do to them. I might be jumping the gun before i even attend this event but i will seek to offer some suggestions to improve as as an event precursor.

For starters, dun get government to push it. Get industry leaders, academics, foreign thought leaders from technological hubs in israel, silicon valley to speak at fund launches like this. If the govt has 500 million to spend eventually, they can spend a few million trying to do this right for once by flying the right people down to Singapore to launch this. Get any warm body the innovators, the engineers, the entrepreneurs, will respect, NOT govt officials. Unless this is an internal fund for only civil servants to create startups, no one in the audience is going to listen to some civil servants step up that podium and subsequently gladly oblige to follow the commands. Singapore’s culture may be paternalistic but all kids grow up eventually.

I don;t know whether this fund’s creators actually pondered the root to the lack of innovation here which is why we have no notable web 2.0 enterprises of note. The real problem is the engineers and comp science students in singapore flocking to the more financially stable industries of Finance and Banking. Without real efforts put into university admin and policies that effectively overcome the sociological and psychological bias of our nation’s brightest engineers against non-financial careers, this initiative is dead in the water before it starts. This is the real brain drain a fictional Web 3.0 industry in Singapore will face. And this is a chronic cancer no cure seems imminent at present. We need to make this industry more glamorous and credible. Which does not mean more lame advertising campaigns depicting the computing industry as sexy or anything. It means putting more money into the promising startups we already have, helping them hire good talent from local and especially overseas etc…

More importantly, we need to inspire and fertilize the ground which grows those entrepreneurs, ie. the schools. We need to find what ever minor successes we have in the current generation of web entrepreneurs we have in Singapore and cultivate them as role models through the media. Talk about their struggles, their successes and the route they took to success so others can take note and support can be rallied from society and the industry. Influencing the public is key here anda successful push in the Web industry will help greatly in expanding career options to students in the educational institutions in polys ITEs, and the unis.

logo.gifTHe only web “successes” we have so far is? I might be ignorant but only HArdwarezone.com came to mind and they were bought for a paltry SG$7 million. how is that going to inspire any potential local web3.0 entrepreneur to start up? I think this is a question begging to be asked. 500 million from the govt coffers might be huge, but it will not displace the importance nor influence of the VC industry which will be begging to ask whether any future valuations of startups in this region deserve funding after the HWZ precedent.”

Follow-up: For those frustrated with the development of Singapore’s web industry, help it grow at the BarCamp SG event on Jan 20.



Race to Space heats up with Amazonian joining the fray

5 01 2007

It was Paul Allen who started it. Then Richard Branson jumped in, as he always does in any remotely cool, outlandish project, with the world’s first galactic venture — Virgin Galactic. Sergey Brin likes an elevator idea better, so does his pal Larry.

Bezos professed his love for the stars last year too, and now has something to show for it. More details on that from the man himself here.

Shaped like a gherkin, it went up to an altitude of 285 feet, or 87 metres, hardly stratospheric yet. As for speed, lets just say it wobbled its way awkwardly up the skies. pic1.jpg

But those who know me should also know I am a big fan of space travel. And any venture that explicitly states a vision towards living and travelling between the stars is an awfully exciting venture for me. There’s nothing that makes me more regretful when I think back of the day i turned my back on an engineering degree, and childhood dreams of being an astronaut. (okay, maybe only fleetingly, i was never cut out to be a good physicist, and Singapore having a space program was as ridiculous as travelling from Earth to the Sun)

Still, it is uplifting to know that successful entrepreneurs of our time, like Jeff Bezos, Sergey, Larry, and the earlier Paul Allen of Microsoft fame, are putting their money into the future. God knows how many failures there will be but the trend has definitely been set and the wheels (or rather wings and booster fuel) put in motion for space flight to be on the same development trajectory as airplane flight which we take for granted today.

Jeff Bezos might only have clocked 87 metres in his latest spacefaring alternative, we might only have had one single SpaceShipOne as we await the launch of Virgin Galactic and there might only have been 4 private space tourists/ travellers so far but that number is still better than 0. I have faith in private sector-led entrepreneurship, i just hope i have the chance to celeberate that faith 30 years from now from an orbit around Earth, or beyond. =)



*GASP* Has Google Won the War?

4 01 2007

Rich Skrenta has this amazing article on his blog that proclaims Google as the undisputed leader of the Third Wave of Computing after IBM and Microsoft. According to him, the search industry has sorted itself out such that no other competitors, not even Yahoo or Microsoft, can face up to Google’s dominance in search technology, revenue monetization nor brand perception.

So, has Google really won the war?

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No way. I am not going to argue that at this current time, Google search is superior in the 3 areas i pointed out in the last paragraph. But i dispute the fact that Google’s position as the leader in search is dominant to the extent Microsoft and IBM had for the PC and mainframe industries.

Search Market Share

Google’s next step: owning the rest of the page views on the netJust as Microsoft used their platform monopoly to push into vertical apps, expect Google to continue to push into lucrative destination verticals — shopping searches, finance, photos, mail, social media, etc. They are being haphazard about this now but will likely refine their thinking and execution over time. It’s actually not inconceivable that they could eventually own all of the destination page views too. Crazy as it sounds, it’s conceivable that they could actually end up owning the entire net, or most of what counts. — Rich Skrenta

For one, Google does not have dominant market share of the search market. According to the latest (?) Comscore ratings of August 2006, Google’s market share of search is just under 50%, while, dominating Microsoft and Yahoo in head-to-head comparisons (at 12.5% and 28.7% respectively), do not grant it dominance to the extent of Microsoft’s near-monopolistic share over PC software, or even IBM’s share in their heydays. Of course, Rich Skrenta cites Google’s true search market share at 70% based on his own analysis here, which makes for compelling reading as that is closer to my own analytics on this blog and elsewhere too, but its still hard to dispute comScore methodology without deeper analysis. Google has to fear a resurgent and cash-rich Microsoft buying over a Yahoo that is looking vulnerable after recent management revamps and strategic missteps in its bid to become an online media giant at the expense of search.

If Microsoft and Yahoo combines, not only do they form a formidable threat in terms of search market share, they also bring large audiences and strengths in content (through the MSN and Yahoo sites) under the same roof. This effectively kicks the wind out of Google, especially if they intend to diversify into areas other than search, such as social media, photos, mail or finance (as listed y Rich Skrenta). We know how Google fares in those verticals currently, it has already exited the user-dependent Google Answers service while Yahoo Answers roars ahead. While I am a rabid fan of Gmail, Yahoo Mail and Hotmail still have overwhelming numbers of users that are unlikely to convert their loyalty in any significant way to Google soon.

Transfer of Brand-Trust

The brand perception of Google might be strong, but it is only limited to search, and not in email as yet, and similarly for other services other than search. How users will translate their trust in the Google search service to other Google-affiliated services is an open question even Googlers must be asking themselves too. As it stands, Google has launched an amazing number of services under its Google Labs, few of which have truly stuck on that metaphorical wall of user-consumer acceptance. While its culture of innovation is laudable here, doubts have crept as to how Google intends to curb its dependence, in terms of revenue, upon search as its sole revenue driver. If we are to take revenue generation as a reliable symtpom of brand equity, Google is only good in search, so far. Period.

All in all, I think its still premature to say Google is the dominant search engine for this Third Age of Computing. It has been the first to get search truly right (first-right-mover advantage) but the jury is still out on the success of Microsoft’s new advertising platform AdCenter and Yahoo’s Project Panama. Furthermore, the search engine marketing industry is not just limited to CPC ads which Google totally rules, but also CPM and CPA ads (Dave McClure made a strong case for CPA here). There’s still a long way for Microsoft, Yahoo or even NewsCorp to muscle in and determine the path for search engines to lead the evolution of its advertising-reliant monetization model. I think 2007 will shed more light on the final destination of the Crown for Search, especially so if Microsoft and Yahoo hook up.

The war for search engine domination is not over because monetization lies at its root, and the best man who figures out how to sell effectively (CPA ads) to an intent-based activity like search, wins.



Blog about Life (Or Lack of It) of Wall Street Bankers

1 01 2007

BusinessWeek calls the blogger the “Borat of Wall Street”. Exposing the idiosyncracies and incredulities of the lifestyle of smart Ivy-leaguers who spend the better half of their lives in front of computer screens. A mock cover letter to Goldman has these lines proclaiming the applicant’s skills:

“I have been practicing staring at a computer monitor for extended hours,” he wrote. “I can currently sit motionless in front of a screen for 28 hours, and I am improving daily.”

Check out the Leveraged Sell-Out blog. A blog for investment bankers who want a reality check.





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